Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Lausanne Sport
28.5%
Draw
35.7%
Basel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Lausanne Sport
vs
1.48
Basel
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
0-0
7.2%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).