Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Catanzaro
29.3%
Draw
24.6%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Catanzaro
vs
0.98
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).