Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.4%
Burnley
13.1%
Draw
2.4%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Burnley
vs
0.25
Reading
Markets
BTTS20.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
20.4%
1-0
16.9%
3-0
16.1%
4-0
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
1-1
4.8%
5-0
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
0-1
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).