Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Burgos
27.6%
Draw
18.6%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Burgos
vs
0.68
Eldense
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).