Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Las Palmas
23.3%
Draw
15.1%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Las Palmas
vs
0.70
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
3.2%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).