Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Sp Gijon
24.9%
Draw
35.6%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Sp Gijon
vs
1.37
Malaga
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).