Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.5%
Torquay
20.2%
Draw
66.2%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Torquay
vs
2.23
Notts County
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
0-1
8.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).