Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Cambridge
28.0%
Draw
38.7%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Cambridge
vs
1.08
Exeter
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).