⚽ FootballData
Barnet

Home

2 – 4
AHT: 21CSV

21 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
73.8%
Barnet
18.0%
Draw
8.2%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.28

Barnet

vs
0.64

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS43.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.0%
1-0
11.6%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-1
2.8%
5-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).