Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Vallecano
28.6%
Draw
25.1%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Vallecano
vs
0.90
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).