Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Milan
23.1%
Draw
17.3%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Milan
vs
0.80
Genoa
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).