Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Hartlepool
27.5%
Draw
20.9%
Fylde
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Hartlepool
vs
0.90
Fylde
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).