Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.9%
Sheppey United
7.8%
Draw
6.2%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
4.36
Sheppey United
vs
1.35
Man United
Markets
BTTS73.1%
Over 0.599.7%
Over 1.597.7%
Over 2.592.4%
Over 3.582.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-1
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
5-1
5.9%
4-0
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
4-2
4.6%
5-0
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
5-2
4.0%
2-0
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).