Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Cesena
29.1%
Draw
30.4%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Cesena
vs
1.16
Ternana
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).