Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Union Berlin
28.2%
Draw
29.8%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Union Berlin
vs
1.14
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).