Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Salernitana
36.3%
Draw
39.0%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Salernitana
vs
0.97
Modena
Markets
BTTS33.0%
Over 0.580.2%
Over 1.551.5%
Over 2.523.9%
Over 3.59.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.8%
0-1
16.7%
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
0-3
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).