Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Swansea
29.9%
Draw
40.3%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Swansea
vs
1.29
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).