Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Valladolid
26.8%
Draw
41.2%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Valladolid
vs
1.33
Girona
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.3%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).