Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Auxerre
22.1%
Draw
17.1%
Orleans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Auxerre
vs
0.74
Orleans
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).