Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Reggina
29.2%
Draw
25.3%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Reggina
vs
1.01
Perugia
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).