Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Stockport
24.8%
Draw
25.4%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Stockport
vs
0.92
Luton
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).