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26 Feb 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.2%
West Ham
26.3%
Draw
45.5%
Brentford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

West Ham

vs
1.75

Brentford

Markets

BTTS62.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.9%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).