Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Le Havre
29.3%
Draw
43.8%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Le Havre
vs
1.14
Lille
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
12.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).