Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Dortmund
25.0%
Draw
25.9%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Dortmund
vs
1.23
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).