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05 Aug 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.3%
Elversberg
18.7%
Draw
7.9%
Hansa Rostock

Expected Goals (xG)

2.21

Elversberg

vs
0.61

Hansa Rostock

Markets

BTTS41.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
5-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).