Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.5%
Zorya Luhansk
16.8%
Draw
73.7%
Shakhtar Donetsk
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Zorya Luhansk
vs
2.38
Shakhtar Donetsk
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.6%
0-1
10.4%
0-3
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
5.9%
0-0
4.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
1-0
3.0%
2-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).