Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Salford
23.0%
Draw
23.4%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Salford
vs
1.03
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).