Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Ipswich
23.4%
Draw
24.7%
Newmarket Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Ipswich
vs
1.09
Newmarket Town
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).