Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Bury
21.3%
Draw
31.6%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Bury
vs
1.57
Bury
Markets
BTTS67.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).