Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Bastia
30.7%
Draw
44.9%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Bastia
vs
1.06
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.550.8%
Over 2.525.3%
Over 3.59.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.6%
0-0
16.5%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-1
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).