Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.3%
Pacos Ferreira
25.8%
Draw
53.9%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Pacos Ferreira
vs
1.45
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
11.5%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).