Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.4%
Harborough Town
12.1%
Draw
4.5%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Harborough Town
vs
0.42
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS31.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.8%
3-0
14.1%
1-0
13.5%
4-0
8.9%
2-1
7.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-1
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
5-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).