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30 Nov 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.4%
FC Koln
29.1%
Draw
27.5%
Hannover

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

FC Koln

vs
1.08

Hannover

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).