Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.7%
Sheffield United
19.8%
Draw
13.5%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Sheffield United
vs
0.93
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).