Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Celta
22.7%
Draw
16.8%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Celta
vs
0.86
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).