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AHT: 11

21 Feb 2026 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.4%
Hull
24.3%
Draw
25.4%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Hull

vs
1.28

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).