Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.7%
Exeter
14.1%
Draw
6.2%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Exeter
vs
0.48
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS34.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.3%
1-0
14.2%
3-0
12.8%
2-1
7.8%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).