Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.5%
Lorient
16.5%
Draw
15.0%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Lorient
vs
1.01
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
4-1
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).