Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Villarreal
26.2%
Draw
17.1%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Villarreal
vs
0.71
Getafe
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).