Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
Sutton
25.4%
Draw
48.7%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Sutton
vs
1.47
Northampton
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).