Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Schalke 04
27.2%
Draw
39.4%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Schalke 04
vs
1.43
Hertha
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).