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06 Oct 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.5%
Club Brugge
29.1%
Draw
44.4%
St. Gilloise

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Club Brugge

vs
1.34

St. Gilloise

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).