Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Queens Park Rangers
30.2%
Draw
39.3%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.26
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).