Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Falkirk
26.6%
Draw
45.3%
Celtic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Falkirk
vs
1.56
Celtic
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).