Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Osasuna
28.9%
Draw
22.4%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Osasuna
vs
0.82
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).