Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.6%
Rochdale
18.2%
Draw
11.2%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Rochdale
vs
0.88
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
1-1
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).