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18 Jan 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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93.9%
Bayern Munich
4.3%
Draw
1.8%
Wolfsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

4.80

Bayern Munich

vs
0.83

Wolfsburg

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.597.7%
Over 2.591.9%
Over 3.581.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

4-0
8.0%
5-0
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-1
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-2
2.7%
3-2
2.3%
1-0
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).