Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Norwich
30.9%
Draw
28.4%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Norwich
vs
0.99
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).