Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.1%
Burnley
8.8%
Draw
1.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
2.75
Burnley
vs
0.18
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS15.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
20.2%
3-0
18.5%
1-0
14.5%
4-0
12.7%
5-0
7.0%
0-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-1
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
0-1
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).