Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.5%
Cremonese
21.0%
Draw
14.5%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Cremonese
vs
0.97
Crotone
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).